The AI War Ahead: The Next Global SuperPower Isn't Who You Think | Ian Bremmer

Added: Aug 1, 2023

Bremmer believes that big tech's power will only increase with the advancement of AI technology. He suggests that governments will struggle to regulate AI effectively as the technology is evolving at a much faster pace than regulatory frameworks can keep up with. He warns that AI has the potential to be used as a weapon by governments or non-state actors, leading to a new form of warfare that is invisible and difficult to combat. One of the main concerns Bremmer raises is the erosion of truth and the rise of disinformation in the digital age. He argues that AI algorithms and social media platforms have contributed to the fragmentation of society, as people are increasingly exposed to personalized content that reinforces their existing beliefs and biases. This has led to a loss of shared narratives and a breakdown in consensus on what is true. Bremmer emphasizes that without a common understanding of truth, democracy and civil society are at risk. Bremmer suggests that collaboration between big tech companies and governments is one way to address these challenges. He mentions a recent meeting between President Biden and AI founders/CEOs, where they discussed voluntary principles for AI regulation. However, he acknowledges that more needs to be done, such as creating licensing regimes, penalties for misuse of AI, and the sharing of proprietary data sets. Bremmer argues that urgent action is needed to regulate AI and address its potential negative externalities. He emphasizes the importance of maintaining human relationships and values in the face of increasing digitalization. Bremmer concludes that while AI offers tremendous opportunities for human flourishing, it also poses significant risks that must be addressed to ensure a positive outcome for society. The discussion then shifts to the impact of AI on global politics and governance. Bremmer highlights the risks associated with the proliferation of AI tools, particularly in the hands of criminal malware developers and rogue states. He suggests the need for robust regulation and governance of AI, proposing a hybrid organization involving tech companies and governments working together to develop regulations and monitor AI use. Bremmer suggests the creation of an international AI agency that licenses AI capacities and software, with tech companies and governments collaborating to ensure compliance. Bremmer also discusses the role of cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin, in weakening government power. He explains that cryptocurrencies provide an alternative to fiat currencies and can potentially challenge government control. He suggests that governments may either try to regulate cryptocurrencies or become anti-cryptocurrency, but the outcome is uncertain. The central thesis of Bremmer's book, "The Power of Crisis," is introduced, which argues that crises are often necessary to prompt cooperation and action. Bremmer explains the importance of crises in driving progress and cooperation, particularly in a globalized world. Bremmer acknowledges the challenges of addressing current political divisions and divergent narratives in society. He suggests that until there is enough pain and suffering, such as through war, it may be difficult to bring people together. However, he also highlights the potential for progress and change, particularly in the context of AI. In terms of the future world order, Bremmer predicts that governance and governments will look radically different in the next 10 years. He suggests a shift towards more thoughtful globalization, where resources are used to take care of those left behind and institutions are reformed to adapt to rapid technological changes. He emphasizes the need for transparency and addressing inequality to prevent further divisions in society. One of Bremmer's key concerns is the impact of AI on education. He points out that the current generation of children is being raised by algorithms that have no interest in their education. This, he believes, will have a profound effect on how these children interact with society. Bremmer suggests that children under the age of 16 should not directly interact with AI unless under adult supervision, as the long-term effects are still unknown. Bremmer also discusses the potential use of AI in the medical field. While he supports the use of AI in medical apps for children, he emphasizes the importance of human supervision and control. He believes that the impact of AI on children needs to be understood before allowing them to have direct relationships with AI educators or other AI entities. The podcast concludes with Bremmer expressing his concerns about the future of humanity. He believes that the younger generation is already different from previous generations, but the exact nature of this difference is yet to be understood. Bremmer highlights the importance of running experiments on the younger generation cautiously and responsibly. Overall, Bremmer's main argument revolves around the potential risks and uncertainties associated with the growing influence of AI. He emphasizes the need for regulation and supervision to ensure responsible use of AI and to prevent detrimental effects, especially on children. Bremmer's insights shed light on the complex challenges and opportunities that AI presents for society and the global order.